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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
41.42% ( -1.93) | 27.11% ( 0.09) | 31.46% ( 1.84) |
Both teams to score 49.66% ( 0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.46% ( 0.31) | 55.54% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% ( 0.25) | 76.71% ( -0.26) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.59% ( -0.87) | 26.41% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.42% ( -1.16) | 61.57% ( 1.16) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( 1.51) | 32.51% ( -1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( 1.66) | 69.04% ( -1.66) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.48) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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