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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Southampton logo

Hull City
1 - 2
Southampton

Delap (25')
Philogene-Bidace (45+1'), Christie (46'), Morton (52'), Sayyadmanesh (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smallbone (20'), Fraser (90+5')
Manning (39'), Alcaraz (48'), Fraser (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Hull City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-2 Hull City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 1-2 Southampton

Both of these sides possess plenty of quality, but the Saints should fancy themselves to mark their return to action with a victory at the weekend, after bouncing back to close to their best prior to the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawSouthampton
37.5% (-0.718 -0.72) 24.44% (-0.378 -0.38) 38.05% (1.094 1.09)
Both teams to score 59.82% (1.405 1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57% (1.809 1.81)43% (-1.811 -1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.6% (1.766 1.77)65.4% (-1.768 -1.77)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (0.438 0.44)22.79% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.5% (0.648 0.65)56.5% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (1.387 1.39)22.51% (-1.389 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (2.027 2.03)56.08% (-2.03 -2.03)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 37.5%
    Southampton 38.05%
    Draw 24.44%
Hull CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.518 -0.52)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.305 -0.31)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.5%
1-1 @ 11.31% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.178 0.18)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.422 -0.42)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.44% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.65% (-0.297 -0.3)
0-2 @ 5.71% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.231 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.209 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.146 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.121 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.05%

How you voted: Hull City vs Southampton

Hull City
33.3%
Draw
29.6%
Southampton
37.0%
27
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2016 2.15pm
Hull City
2-1
Southampton
Snodgrass (61'), Dawson (63')
Austin (6' pen.)
Tadic (29'), Clasie (57'), Bertrand (72'), Yoshida (83'), Romeu (91')
Feb 11, 2014 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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