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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%).
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
41.52% | 24.63% | 33.86% |
Both teams to score 58.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.64% | 44.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.27% | 66.74% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.59% | 21.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.58% | 54.42% |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.57% | 25.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.75% | 60.25% |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 8.86% 1-0 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-1 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |