MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 03:45:06| >> :120:35860:35860:
Larne
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Inver Park
HJK logo

Larne
2 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Bonis (65' pen.), Thomson (87')
Donnelly (47'), Bonis (73'), Want (110')
FT
(aet)
Ollila (26'), Want (96' og.)
Raitala (64'), Tenho (74'), Ollila (79'), Radulovic (107')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Larne and HJK Helsinki, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League

We say: Larne 0-1 HJK Helsinki (HJK Helsinki to win 2-0 on aggregate)

The hosts were outplayed for the most part in the first leg, and while they should put on a better showing at home, it seems unlikely that they will be able to overturn this tie. The visitors will prioritse keeping a clean sheet here, and if they get an early goal, we can see them sitting back and holding on to their lead to take their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%).

Result
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
29.27% (0.0019999999999989 0) 28.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 42.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 44.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)61.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.24% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (0.00099999999999767 0)37.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)74.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.73% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.57%
Score Analysis
    Larne 29.26%
    HJK Helsinki 42.19%
    Draw 28.53%
LarneDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 10.56%
2-1 @ 6.51%
2-0 @ 5.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-0 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 13.34%
0-2 @ 8.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-3 @ 3.46%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.08%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.19%

How you voted: Larne vs HJK Helsinki

Larne
21.8%
Draw
16.4%
HJK Helsinki
61.8%
55
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2023 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
HJK Helsinki
1-0
Larne
Radulovic (3' pen.)
Tenho (28')

Bolger (31'), Cosgrove (46'), Want (89'), Donnelly (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!