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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Leipzig logo

Freiburg
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Streich (78'), Grifo (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kampl (73')
Haidara (21'), Nkunku (36'), Laimer (64'), Kampl (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Leipzig will be hoping that Freiburg are still reeling from the effects of Tuesday's heavy defeat as they aim to climb above Saturday's opponents into the top four with another victory the Europa-Park Stadion. The hosts will be keen to put things right and respond well with an improved performance, but considering the threat that the visitors pose in attack, we expect Die Roten Bullen to outscore their opponents once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
24.43% (-0.044 -0.04) 22.35% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 53.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (-0.337 -0.34)39.64% (0.338 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)61.99% (0.353 0.35)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.218 -0.22)29.46% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.266 -0.27)65.47% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (-0.125 -0.13)14.96% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (-0.238 -0.24)43.37% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 24.43%
    RB Leipzig 53.22%
    Draw 22.35%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.43%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.22%

How you voted: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Freiburg
28.6%
Draw
12.7%
RB Leipzig
58.7%
63
Head to Head
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Freiburg
1-5
RB Leipzig
Gregoritsch (75')
Kubler (68'), Sallai (90+4')
Olmo (13'), Henrichs (14'), Szoboszlai (37', 90+7'), Nkunku (45+1')
Nkunku (60'), Blaswich (69'), Laimer (85')
Gvardiol (58')
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Kubler (66')
Doan (41')
May 21, 2022 7pm
Final
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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