MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 06:21:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Freiburg logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Freiburg

Philipp (46')
Gross (11'), Stark (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sallai (66'), Holer (71')
Doan (13'), Eggestein (31'), Sallai (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg

Werder Bremen's matches have generally been open and entertaining all season long, and we do not expect any different in this meeting, especially with Werner's side almost safe from relegation danger. However, their slight concerns may be prolonged for a little longer if they fall to defeat against Freiburg, who will be highly motivated to return to winning ways in their quest to qualify for the Champions League for the first time in the club's history. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
41.74% (-0.156 -0.16) 24.35% (-0.115 -0.12) 33.91% (0.27 0.27)
Both teams to score 59.58% (0.491 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (0.606 0.61)43.08% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (0.596 0.6)65.48% (-0.596 -0.6)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (0.184 0.18)20.77% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.59% (0.288 0.29)53.41% (-0.289 -0.29)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.44499999999999 0.44)24.8% (-0.445 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (0.616 0.62)59.38% (-0.617 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 41.74%
    Freiburg 33.91%
    Draw 24.35%
Werder BremenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.1% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.91%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Freiburg

Werder Bremen
22.2%
Draw
18.5%
Freiburg
59.3%
54
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
Werder Bremen
Lienhart (16')
Hofler (27'), Santamaria (89'), Schmid (90+2')
Fullkrug (25' pen.)
Augustinsson (44'), Mbom (51'), Sargent (83')
May 23, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Werder Bremen
2-2
Freiburg
Rashica (9'), Gebre Selassie (59')
Bittencourt (57'), Sahin (64'), Veljkovic (83')
Petersen (28', 93')
Gunter (62'), Frantz (75'), Haberer (79')
Haberer (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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