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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.71%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
49.71% ( 0.08) | 24.46% ( -0.02) | 25.83% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% ( 0.01) | 47.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.03% ( 0) | 69.97% ( -0.01) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( 0.03) | 19.26% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( 0.06) | 50.98% ( -0.06) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.3% ( -0.05) | 32.7% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.75% ( -0.06) | 69.25% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 25.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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