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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Mainz logo

Hertha Berlin
1 - 1
Mainz

Ngankam (18' pen.)
Cigerci (22'), Tousart (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ajorque (57')
Hanche-Olsen (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, March 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-2 Mainz 05

In addition to winning each of their last four league games – and five of their previous six – Mainz head into Saturday's showdown on the back of successive clean sheets. With that in mind, we expect the 05ers to extend their winning streak to five matches with a third consecutive clean-sheet victory, piling more pressure on relegation-threatened Hertha. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
36.1% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 26.06% (0.035 0.04) 37.84% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)50.44% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.134 -0.13)72.37% (0.133 0.13)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.116 -0.12)27% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (-0.151 -0.15)62.35% (0.15 0.15)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)26.01% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)61.03% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 36.1%
    Mainz 05 37.84%
    Draw 26.06%
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.84%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Mainz

Hertha Berlin
25.6%
Draw
20.9%
Mainz 05
53.5%
43
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7.30pm
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Mainz
Selke (45+5' pen.)
Dardai (56'), Darida (80'), Ascacibar (88')
Widmer (25'), Bell (81')
Svensson (45+4'), Caricol (65')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz
4-0
Hertha Berlin
Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')
May 3, 2021 5pm
Mainz
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Mwene (40')
Bell (18'), Barreiro (72')
Tousart (36')
Tousart (39'), Cunha (67'), Ascacibar (74')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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