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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 2, 2022 at 3pm UK
Dean Court
Bristol City

Bournemouth
3 - 2
Bristol City

Solanke (40'), Cook (52'), Dembele (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Atkinson (4'), Weimann (90+2')
Cundy (73')

Preview: Bournemouth vs. Bristol City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bournemouth play host to Bristol City on Saturday afternoon looking to strengthen their position in the Championship automatic places.

With games in hand, the Cherries hold a six-point advantage in second position, whereas Bristol City are down in 18th spot after a dismal campaign.


Match preview

Bournemouth's Dominic Solanke celebrates scoring their third goal on March 19, 2022© Reuters

Having failed to record successive wins throughout March, Bournemouth may feel fortunate to be sitting in such a favourable position ahead of the run-in.

Nevertheless, Scott Parker's team rose to the occasion when they faced direct rivals Huddersfield Town ahead of the international break, blowing away opponents who would have sensed an opportunity to stay in the automatic promotion mix.

Instead, Jaidon Anthony, Jefferson Lerma and Dominic Solanke all got on the scoresheet within 47 minutes, ensuring that Bournemouth were able to cruise to victory at the John Smith's Stadium.

Still with a fixture in hand on Fulham, Parker will have one eye on eating into the eight-point advantage of the leaders, but he will also recognise that earning an immediate return to the Premier League is top of his agenda.

Despite their current standing, Bournemouth will not get ahead of themselves with five promotion contenders, including Fulham, to come in consecutive fixtures after the game on Saturday.

Bristol City manager Nigel Pearson pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

All things considered, Bournemouth could not have hand-picked many better matches at this stage of the season with Bristol City well on their way to a lowly finish under Nigel Pearson.

To their credit, the Robins earned a 2-2 draw against West Bromwich Albion last time out, but it was only the fourth point registered from six games.

The one positive ahead of this fixture is that their only away win since the beginning of October, which came at Blackburn Rovers on March 12, remains fresh in the memory.

Although Andreas Weimann scored his 18th goal of the season against the Baggies, Bristol City again conceded a last-minute strike to drop points, which has been the story of their season.

Bournemouth Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Bristol City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D



Team News

Bournemouth manager Scott Parker on March 19, 2022© Reuters

Having played 76 minutes for Colombia in Venezuela earlier this week, Lerma's fitness will be assessed ahead of this fixture.

Providing that Parker is happy with the Bournemouth midfielder's condition, the same team from the last fixture could be named, seeing the likes of Todd Cantwell and Jamal Lowe remain among the replacements.

Pearson has revealed that Bristol City trio Tomas Kalas, Joe Williams and Antoine Semenyo will all be absent on Saturday through injury.

Nahki Wells is expected to replace the latter of those players after scoring as a substitute against West Brom.

Midfielder Alex Scott also comes back into contention and is an option in the centre of the pitch.

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Travers; Smith, Phillips, Kelly, Zemura; Lerma, Cook, Billing; Christie, Solanke, Anthony

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Cundy, Klose, Atkinson; Dasilva, James, Massengo, Pring; Weimann; Martin, Wells


SM words green background

We say: Bournemouth 4-1 Bristol City

While Bournemouth cannot claim to be in good form, there were certainly very promising signs during the Huddersfield contest. With that in mind, we expect the Cherries to pick up where they left out, cruising to a victory over opponents who cannot wait for the season to end.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 76.45%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.79%) and 3-0 (10.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Bristol City

Bournemouth
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Bristol City
22.2%
9
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