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Arminia Bielefeld logos
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 19, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Bielefelder Alm
Leipzig logo

Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Pieper (71'), Brunner (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sabitzer (46')
Kampl (85')

Preview: Arminia Bielefeld vs. RB Leipzig - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Arminia Bielefeld take on RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Friday, with the visitors desperately needing to win in order to keep pace with Bayern Munich at the top of the table.

The hosts, meanwhile, moved outside of the relegation zone with a surprising 2-1 win at Bayer Leverkusen last weekend.


Match preview

Arminia Bielefeld manager Uwe Neuhaus pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Few neutrals would have given Arminia much of a chance of gaining a positive result at Leverkusen, who were top of the Bundesliga as recently as December, given that they had picked up only four points from their previous 11 away matches.

However, one of those points was recently earned at Bayern prior to the club parting ways with Uwe Neuhaus and appointing Frank Kramer as manager, so Leverkusen certainly should not have underestimated their opponents in any way.

Ritsu Doan, who is on loan from PSV Eindhoven for the campaign, was handed a more central role by his new manager, rewarding Kramer's faith by opening the scoring after 17 minutes.

Masaya Okugawa doubled the visitors' lead 12 minutes after the half-time interval, with Peter Bosz's side struggling to penetrate Arminia's organised defensive structure despite having 75% possession across the 90 minutes.

Patrik Schick's 85th-minute strike ultimately proved to be little more than a consolation goal, with Arminia climbing a point above Hertha Berlin and outside of the relegation zone to move level on points with FC Koln.

While Leipzig are likely to prove much sterner opposition on Friday night, there certainly appears to be renewed optimism in Bielefeld in terms of surviving relegation.

RB Leipzig coach Julian Nagelsmann pictured on February 16, 2021© Reuters

With Bayern cruising to a 3-1 victory away to Werder Bremen last Saturday, the pressure was ramped up on Julian Nagelsmann's shoulders ahead of Leipzig's home match against high-flying Eintracht Frankfurt the following day.

With Adi Hutter aiming to steer Frankfurt into the Champions League for the first time in the club's history, there was plenty at stake for both sides, and that was certainly clear to see in a quiet first half between two evenly-matched sides.

However, the hosts did enjoy the better chances early on, with Marcel Sabitzer stinging the hands of Kevin Trapp before Willi Orban saw his effort ruled out for offside.

Given that they boasted the best defensive record in the division heading into the weekend, Nagelsmann would have felt confident of holding onto victory after Emil Forsberg broke the deadlock less than a minute after the break.

Frankfurt had other ideas, though, demonstrating the quality and spirit which has seen them establish themselves as genuine top-four contenders this season.

Amin Younes and Daichi Kamada probed between the lines, with the Japan international reacting quickest to steer home Andre Silva's cross and claim a crucial point for the visitors, which saw Leipzig slip four points behind Bayern.

Nagelsmann's side simply must bounce back with a win a Arminia if they are to stay in the race.

Arminia Bielefeld Bundesliga form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W

RB Leipzig Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

RB Leipzig form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D


Team News

Dayot Upamecano in action for RB Leipzig on February 6, 2021© Reuters

Arminia remain without Nathan de Medina for another match after his straight red card in the defeat to Bremen.

Reinhold Yabo, Cebio Soukou, Jacob Laursen and Joan Simun Edmundsson are all likely to be ruled out through injury, with Kramer unlikely to make any changes to the team which performed so impressively in Leverkusen.

Leipzig, meanwhile, lost Dayot Upamecano to injury during the draw against Frankfurt, with the defender facing a race against time to pass a fitness test for the trip to Bielefeld.

Angelino, Dominik Szoboszlai and Konrad Laimer are unlikely to return from their own injuries until after the upcoming international break.

Arminia Bielefeld possible starting lineup:
Ortega; Brunner, Pieper, Nilsson, Lucoqui; Gebauer, Prietl, Maier, Okugawa; Klos, Doan

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Mukiele, Orban, Klostermann, Halstenberg; Kampl, Sabitzer; Kluivert, Forsberg, Nkunku; Poulsen


SM words green background

We say: Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 RB Leipzig

We can envisage Arminia giving Leipzig a tough test on Friday, particularly if Leipzig are without their star defender Upamecano through injury.

However, Leipzig's counter-pressing and ability to retain possession should see them through in the end, with Leverkusen and Bayern's stumbles against Kramer's side all the motivation they require.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 8.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.75%) and 0-3 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Arminia Bielefeld vs RB Leipzig

Arminia Bielefeld
13.3%
Draw
7.8%
RB Leipzig
78.9%
128
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RB Leipzig coach Julian Nagelsmann pictured on January 23, 2021
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