AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Persepolis2 - 0Istiqlol Dushanbe
Sadeghi (44', 71')
Rafiei (45'), Gvelesiani (63')
Rafiei (45'), Gvelesiani (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Novoselec (57')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Persepolis and Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-1 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Monday, October 2 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Monday, October 2 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Persepolis win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 27.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Persepolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Persepolis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Persepolis | Draw | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
44.26% ( 0.04) | 28.02% ( 0.01) | 27.71% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.3% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
