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Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Oct 20, 2020 at 7pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Hamilton logo

Aberdeen
4 - 2
Hamilton

Hoban (14'), Ferguson (21'), Edmondson (24', 31')
McLennan (85')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Moyo (32'), Hodson (68' pen.)
Odofin (90+1')

Preview: Aberdeen vs. Hamilton Academical - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Premiership fixture between Aberdeen and Hamilton Academical, including team news and predicted lineups.

Aberdeen play host to Hamilton Academical on Tuesday evening looking to move into third position in the Scottish Premiership table.

Meanwhile, the visitors travel to Pittodrie having lost three of their last four matches, a run which has led to them occupying bottom spot.


Match preview

Aberdeen manager Derek McInnes pictured in August 2020© Reuters

After their season was disrupted by coronavirus issues at the beginning of the campaign, Aberdeen boss Derek McInnes struggled to hide his frustration amid concerns that all of his pre-season planning had been for nothing.

However, the Dons have been brilliant on the domestic front since their second outing on August 20, claiming 19 points from a possible 24.

The 3-0 reverse at home to Motherwell has proven to be a blip, and Aberdeen now find themselves in a position where they can move to within three points of second-placed Celtic.

The departure of Scott McKenna to Nottingham Forest came as a blow to McInnes when he would have hoped to have kept the Scotland international for the rest of the season.

Nevertheless, Aberdeen have conceded just once in their last three fixtures, a sign that the rest of their backline are ready to step up to the mark on a regular basis.

As for Hamilton, shipping five goals to a St Johnstone outfit which had previously lost four matches in succession has left Brian Rice with much to ponder ahead of this contest.

The Accies have now let in 21 strikes in 10 games, by far the worst ratio in the division, and a solution needs to be found for their defensive third of the pitch.

On a positive note, only Rangers have prevented Hamilton from scoring in their last seven league fixtures, an indication that they have the potential to trouble the majority of teams in the top flight.

Six of their seven points this season have been recorded on the road with victories coming at Motherwell and Livingston respectively.

Aberdeen Scottish Premiership form: WWLWWD
Aberdeen form (all competitions): WLLWWD

Hamilton Academical Scottish Premiership form: LWLDLL
Hamilton Academical form (all competitions): LDLLWL


Team News

Hamilton Academical manager Brian Rice pictured in August 2020© Reuters

Rice will almost certainly hand a recall to Ronan Hughes, who netted twice after coming off the substitutes' bench against St Johnstone.

Callum Smith and Ben Stirling may also be provided with opportunities after their appearances at the weekend.

Given the short turnaround, McInnes may consider making numerous changes to his Aberdeen side for Tuesday's fixture.

Ryan Edmondson and Niall McGinn could come back into the first XI, while Funso Ojo is an option in the centre of midfield.

Aberdeen possible starting lineup:
Lewis; Hoban, Taylor, Considine; McGinn, McCrorie, Ferguson, Hayes; Wright; Hedges, Watkins

Hamilton Academical possible starting lineup:
Fulton; Stirling, Odoffin, Want, Forsyth; Munro, Callachan, Hughes, Martin; Ogkmpoe, Moyo


SM words green background

We say: Aberdeen 4-1 Hamilton Academical

Despite being held to a goalless draw at the weekend, everything points to Aberdeen making light work of their next opponents. Although we expect the visitors to get on the scoresheet, they may struggle to keep the goals down at the other end of the pitch.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting that at least one team will not score (BTTS - no) in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.BTTS No:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 19.05%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.


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General view of McDiarmid Park, home to St Johnstone, from 2015
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic000080265478
2RangersRangers000072234975
3Hearts000046341262
4Kilmarnock00004334951
5St Mirren00003843-543
6Dundee00004454-1041
Relegation Group
1Hibernian00004451-739
2Motherwell00004651-537
3Aberdeen00003549-1435
4St Johnstone00002446-2231
5Ross County00003256-2430
6Livingston00002259-3718
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
12Livingston3339212259-3718


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