Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 38.36% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.11%) and 0-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
38.36% ( -0.18) | 23.04% ( 0.01) | 38.6% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 65.22% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.98% ( -0.05) | 36.02% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.88% ( -0.05) | 58.11% ( 0.04) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.7% ( -0.1) | 19.29% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% ( -0.16) | 51.04% ( 0.16) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.81% ( 0.05) | 19.19% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% ( 0.09) | 50.86% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 38.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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