Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
47.13% | 24.35% | 28.52% |
Both teams to score 56.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% | 45.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.24% | 67.76% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.62% | 19.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.82% | 51.18% |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% | 29.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.58% | 65.42% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 9.39% 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.14% 3-0 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 3.14% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.13% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 5.75% 0-0 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7% 0-1 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.33% Total : 28.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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