Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
38.58% | 24.38% | 37.05% |
Both teams to score 60.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.29% | 42.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.88% | 65.12% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% | 22.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.51% | 55.5% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.1% | 22.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.34% | 56.66% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.5% 1-0 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.58% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-1 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 4.08% 2-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |