Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
