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European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gozo Stadium

Portugal U19s
2 - 1
Malta U19s

Fale (8'), Vasconcelos (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tuma (71')
Caruana (41'), Letherby (42'), Ellul (90+7')
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Portugal Under-19s and Malta Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Portugal U19s 5-1 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship
All competitions
Last Game: Malta U19s 0-2 Poland U19s
Thursday, July 6 at 8.15pm in European Under-19s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-19s win with a probability of 97.7%. A draw had a probability of 1.9% and a win for Malta Under-19s had a probability of 0.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-19s win was 4-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (13.26%) and 3-0 (12.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (0.89%), while for a Malta Under-19s win it was 0-1 (0.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-19s would win this match.

Result
Portugal Under-19sDrawMalta Under-19s
97.7% (4.048 4.05) 1.92% (-2.8201 -2.82) 0.38% (-1.221 -1.22)
Both teams to score 23.43% (-14.38 -14.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
87.16% (4.988 4.99)12.84% (-4.981 -4.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
72.88% (7.804 7.8)27.12% (-7.797 -7.8)
Portugal Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.08% (0.967 0.97)0.92% (-0.9601 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
94.76% (4.124 4.12)5.24% (-4.117 -4.12)
Malta Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
23.64% (-14.888 -14.89)76.36% (14.895 14.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.04% (-5.5699 -5.57)96.96% (5.578 5.58)
Score Analysis
    Portugal Under-19s 97.69%
    Malta Under-19s 0.38%
    Draw 1.92%
Portugal Under-19sDrawMalta Under-19s
4-0 @ 14.15% (2.15 2.15)
5-0 @ 13.26% (3.72 3.72)
3-0 @ 12.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
6-0 @ 10.36% (4.044 4.04)
2-0 @ 7.73% (-1.399 -1.4)
7-0 @ 6.94% (3.352 3.35)
8-0 @ 4.06% (2.283 2.28)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-2.027 -2.03)
5-1 @ 3.58% (-1.065 -1.07)
1-0 @ 3.3% (-1.298 -1.3)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-2.627 -2.63)
6-1 @ 2.8% (-0.279 -0.28)
9-0 @ 2.12% (1.33 1.33)
2-1 @ 2.09% (-2.359 -2.36)
7-1 @ 1.87% (0.126 0.13)
8-1 @ 1.1% (0.23 0.23)
10-0 @ 0.99% (0.68 0.68)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 97.69%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 1.92%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 0.38%

rhs 2.0
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1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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