Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, October 27 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Benfica will be licking their lips as they take on an out-of-sorts Arouca side, who have lost each of their previous eight meetings across all competitions. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we fancy As Aguias to come away with all three points at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Benfica |
18.38% ( 0.1) | 22.11% ( 0.05) | 59.51% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.79% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
