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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Porto

Benfica
1 - 0
Porto

di Maria (68')
Neves (59'), di Maria (69'), Jurasek (90+5'), Otamendi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carmo (34'), Taremi (35'), Conceicao (45+45'), Wendell (77'), Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (82'), Conceicao (90+5')
Cardoso (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-3 Benfica
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-1 Porto

 We certainly expect a tight encounter at the Estadio da Luz on Friday, with little to split the two teams who both boast plenty of quality all over the pitch. Although the visitors are a point better off at this stage, they are yet to put a statement victory on the board, while their hosts head in with more momentum on the back of five consecutive league wins, and we fancy As Aguias to go top on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Porto had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPorto
41.58% (0.393 0.39) 24.29% (-0.087 -0.09) 34.12% (-0.309 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.87% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (0.341 0.34)42.73% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.339 0.34)65.13% (-0.34 -0.34)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.328 0.33)20.69% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.51300000000001 0.51)53.29% (-0.512 -0.51)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 41.58%
    Porto 34.12%
    Draw 24.29%
BenficaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 41.58%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Benfica vs Porto

Benfica
71.4%
Draw
13.0%
Porto
15.6%
77
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
2-0
Porto
Di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Silva (72')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
0-1
Porto

Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Porto
3-1
Benfica
Vieira (34'), Pepe (37'), Taremi (69')
Cardoso (30'), Pepe (51'), Martinez (90+1')
Yaremchuk (46')
Almeida (8'), Vertonghen (25'), Goncalves (90+3'), Gilberto (90+5')
Almeida (49')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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