Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
50.06% ( 0.48) | 26.53% ( -0.14) | 23.42% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 45.88% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.3% ( 0.22) | 57.7% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.54% ( 0.17) | 78.46% ( -0.18) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.85% ( 0.31) | 23.15% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% ( 0.46) | 57.03% ( -0.46) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.71% ( -0.2) | 40.29% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.08% ( -0.18) | 76.92% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 23.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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