Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
33.96% | 25.18% | 40.86% |
Both teams to score 56.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% | 46.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% | 69.13% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.43% | 26.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.21% | 61.79% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.19% | 22.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.47% | 56.53% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.96% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.86% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |