Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Gil Vicente |
32.17% ( 1.14) | 26.31% ( 0.17) | 41.52% ( -1.31) |
Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.84% ( -0.31) | 52.16% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.12% ( -0.27) | 73.87% ( 0.27) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% ( 0.62) | 30.3% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% ( 0.74) | 66.48% ( -0.74) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.18% ( -0.8) | 24.82% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% ( -1.13) | 59.41% ( 1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |