Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 6.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
82.04% ( -1.25) | 11.7% ( 0.7) | 6.27% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 48.72% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.81% ( -1.23) | 29.18% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.8% ( -1.51) | 50.2% ( 1.51) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.71% ( -0.44) | 5.29% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.17% ( -1.31) | 20.83% ( 1.31) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.44% ( 0.7) | 48.55% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.36% ( 0.5) | 83.63% ( -0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.36) 5-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 7-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.72% Total : 82.03% | 1-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.78% Total : 11.7% | 1-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.44% Total : 6.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |