Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
42.54% ( 0.02) | 26.29% ( 0) | 31.18% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.62% ( -0.02) | 52.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.94% ( -0.01) | 74.06% ( 0.02) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% | 24.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -0) | 58.82% ( 0) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% ( -0.02) | 31.09% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( -0.02) | 67.41% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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