Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
55.52% ( -0.02) | 22.79% ( 0) | 21.68% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.27% ( 0) | 44.72% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.91% ( 0) | 67.08% ( -0.01) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% ( -0.01) | 15.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.75% ( -0.01) | 45.25% ( 0.01) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.33% ( 0.02) | 34.66% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.61% ( 0.02) | 71.39% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Minnesota United |
1-0 @ 10.15% 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 55.52% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.79% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |