Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
58.66% ( -0.28) | 23.01% ( 0.1) | 18.33% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 48.91% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.96% ( -0.14) | 50.04% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.98% ( -0.13) | 72.01% ( 0.13) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.25% ( -0.15) | 16.75% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.32% ( -0.27) | 46.68% ( 0.27) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.76% ( 0.13) | 41.24% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.23% ( 0.11) | 77.77% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Austin FC |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.65% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 18.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |