Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Minnesota United |
58.08% ( -0.27) | 23.41% ( 0.08) | 18.51% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.6% ( -0.07) | 51.4% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.79% ( -0.06) | 73.21% ( 0.06) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.56% ( -0.12) | 17.44% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.1% ( -0.21) | 47.9% ( 0.21) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.16% ( 0.18) | 41.84% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.71% ( 0.15) | 78.29% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Minnesota United |
1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.08% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |