Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Brest |
40.04% | 26.25% | 33.71% |
Both teams to score 53.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.44% | 51.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.64% | 73.36% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.67% | 25.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.89% | 60.11% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71% | 29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.1% | 64.9% |
Score Analysis |
Saint-Etienne | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 8.57% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |