Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
12 | Reims | 38 | -1 | 46 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Marseille |
24.63% | 24.02% | 51.34% |
Both teams to score 54.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.06% | 46.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.82% | 69.18% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% | 33.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.15% | 69.85% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% | 18.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.64% | 49.36% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 6.7% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.38% Total : 24.64% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 10.32% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-3 @ 5.47% 0-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 2.11% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.41% Total : 51.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |