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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 21, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Saint-Etienne

Brest
4 - 1
St Etienne

Honorat (7'), Duverne (23'), Cardona (33'), Mounie (38')
Brassier (30')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Camara (31')
Trauco (55')

Preview: Brest vs. Saint-Etienne - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 fixture between Brest and Saint-Etienne, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brest play host to Saint-Etienne on Saturday afternoon looking to build a wider margin between themselves and the Ligue 1 relegation zone.

As for the visitors, they make the trip to Stade Francis-Le Ble having lost their last half-a-dozen fixtures in France's top flight.


Match preview

Claude Puel in charge of Saint-Etienne on October 6, 2019© Reuters

Claude Puel had been doing a solid job in charge of Saint-Etienne, recording 15 wins and eight draws from his opening 36 matches.

However, suffering six defeats in a row, as well as netting just twice during that run, has turned the tables on the Frenchman, who will be aware that he can ill-afford more setbacks over the coming weeks.

Courtesy of a strong start to the season, Saint-Etienne remain two points above the relegation zone, but how they fare during a favourable run of games will determine whether Puel keeps his job during the second half of the campaign.

Top goalscorer Romain Hamouma has not netted since the win over Marseille in the middle of September, with Saint-Etienne's last clean sheet also coming in the same game.

Having finished in 14th position during their first campaign back in Ligue 1, Olivier Dall'Oglio will be delighted that Brest sit in 13th spot at this stage of the season.

With no draws being recorded in their opening 10 matches, progress up the standings has been stop-start, but surviving in the top flight will be Dall'Oglio's main objective.

Achieving that target has been helped by a dramatic 3-2 triumph over Lille in a game which saw their opponents threaten an unlikely comeback from three goals down.

Brest have made a habit of conceding in quick succession in recent matches, something which will need to be phased out if they are ever to threaten the top 10.

Nevertheless, Dall'Oglio will be fully focused on trying to take full advantage of this opportunity, aware that it would put significant distance between themselves and the drop zone.

Brest Ligue 1 form: LWLLLW

Saint-Etienne Ligue 1 form: LLLLLL


Team News

Brest coach Olivier Dall'Oglio pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Dall'Oglio must decide whether his side's second-half performance against Lille is enough to warrant any changes.

Barring any injury issues, the same Brest XI could be given the benefit of the doubt, with Steve Mounie remaining in the side despite five matches without a goal.

Puel could recall Wahbi Khazri and Hamouna after they both started the 2-1 defeat at Lyon among the replacements.

At a time when he is alleged to have turned down a new contract at Saint-Etienne, Arnaud Nordin may be considered after injury.

Brest possible starting lineup:
Larsonneur; Pierre-Gabriel, Chardonnet, Duverne, Perraud; Honorat, Belkebla, Lasne, Faivre; Mounie, Cardona

Saint-Etienne possible starting lineup:
Moulin; Camara, Moukoudi, Kolodziejczak, Trauco; Youssouf, Gourna-Douath, Neyou, Aouchiche; Khazri; Hamouna


SM words green background

We say: Brest 2-0 Saint-Etienne

While Brest have been far from perfect in recent weeks, they are in far better shape than their opponents. Their success over Lille should help them push on heading into the Christmas period, and we expect a comfortable win for the home side.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Auxerre291510453282555
2Angers29155942321050
3Saint-EtienneSt Etienne29146936231348
4Laval2913973529648
5Rodez AFRodez AF29111084740743
6GuingampGuingamp2911993731642
7Paris FCParis FC2911993430442
8Caen29126113937242
9AmiensAmiens29101272627-142
10Grenoble29101093633340
11PauPau29101094242040
12Ajaccio29108112833-538
13Bordeaux29108113237-537
14DunkerqueDunkerque29107122940-1137
15Troyes29811103336-335
16Bastia2997132937-833
17Concarneau2996143040-1033
18Annecy2979133340-730
19Quevilly29513113538-328
20Valenciennes29211161740-2317


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