MX23RW : Saturday, May 18 11:14:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Leipzig logo

Freiburg
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Streich (78'), Grifo (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kampl (73')
Haidara (21'), Nkunku (36'), Laimer (64'), Kampl (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Leipzig will be hoping that Freiburg are still reeling from the effects of Tuesday's heavy defeat as they aim to climb above Saturday's opponents into the top four with another victory the Europa-Park Stadion. The hosts will be keen to put things right and respond well with an improved performance, but considering the threat that the visitors pose in attack, we expect Die Roten Bullen to outscore their opponents once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
24.43% (-0.044 -0.04) 22.35% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 53.22% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.99% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36% (-0.337 -0.34)39.64% (0.338 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)61.99% (0.353 0.35)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-0.218 -0.22)29.46% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53% (-0.266 -0.27)65.47% (0.26599999999999 0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (-0.125 -0.13)14.96% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (-0.238 -0.24)43.37% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 24.43%
    RB Leipzig 53.22%
    Draw 22.35%
FreiburgDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.39% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.43%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.41% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.35%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.37% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.22%

How you voted: Freiburg vs RB Leipzig

Freiburg
28.6%
Draw
12.7%
RB Leipzig
58.7%
63
Head to Head
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Freiburg
1-5
RB Leipzig
Gregoritsch (75')
Kubler (68'), Sallai (90+4')
Olmo (13'), Henrichs (14'), Szoboszlai (37', 90+7'), Nkunku (45+1')
Nkunku (60'), Blaswich (69'), Laimer (85')
Gvardiol (58')
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Kubler (66')
Doan (41')
May 21, 2022 7pm
Final
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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