La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 19, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
El Sadar
Osasuna0 - 3Atletico
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid have been far from convincing so far this season, and, with plenty of momentum and home advantage, we back Los Rojillos to earn a valuable result. While Simeone's men will be keen to bounce back from a disappointing defeat, their attention may be divided with a key Champions League clash looming, and Saturday will certainly not be a straightforward affair for the faltering champions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 23.86% | 26.05% | 50.09% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
