At home to bottom of the league, Atletico are rightly the favourites, but Simeone's side have had a difficult season. Levante have goals in their side, and we fancy them to find the back of the net in Madrid, but Atletico should have enough to secure all three points, which would move them to within a point of third-placed Real Betis on the same number of matches (24).
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Levante had a probability of 10.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.75%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
