Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
57.85% | 25.29% | 16.87% |
Both teams to score 40.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.79% | 60.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.6% | 80.4% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.1% | 20.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.39% | 53.61% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.91% | 49.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.98% | 84.01% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 16.05% 2-0 @ 12.57% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 6.56% 3-1 @ 4.67% 4-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.99% Total : 57.84% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 0-0 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.3% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 64 | 20 | 44 | 72 |
2 | Barcelona | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 60 | 34 | 26 | 64 |
3 | GironaGirona | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 62 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 56 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 55 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 46 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 42 |
8 | Valencia | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 40 |
9 | Villarreal | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Getafe | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 38 |
11 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Osasuna | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 32 |
14 | Mallorca | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 30 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
16 | Sevilla | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 27 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 29 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 22 |
19 | Granada | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 58 | -28 | 14 |
20 | Almeria | 29 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 13 |
> La Liga Full Table |