FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2021 at 7.55pm UK
MEL Group Stadium (Sudbury, Suffolk)
AFC Sudbury0 - 4Colchester
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between AFC Sudbury and Colchester United.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for AFC Sudbury had a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-3 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for an AFC Sudbury win it was 2-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Sudbury | Draw | Colchester United |
| 11.28% | 16.31% | 72.41% |
| Both teams to score 53.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
