Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Szczecin4 - 1KR Reykjavik
Drygas (7', 56'), Zahovic (16'), Bartkowski (40')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Kristofer Larusson (71')
Kristofer Larusson (80')
Kristofer Larusson (80')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Pogon Szczecin and KR Reykjavik.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for KR Reykjavik had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest KR Reykjavik win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | KR Reykjavik |
45.11% ( 0) | 23.53% ( 0.01) | 31.36% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.52% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
