MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 02:27:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 11.15am UK
 
AZ Alkmaar

Excelsior
2 - 1
AZ

Horemans (6'), Azarkan (31')
Fein (59'), Markelo (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sugawara (48')
Beukema (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 7-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

With 13 goals scored across their five league games on the road so far, AZ have proven themselves to be a formidable attacking threat away from home, and we can see them continuing the trend here en route to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 0-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
18.18% (0.396 0.4) 20.3% (0.129 0.13) 61.52% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.57% (0.077000000000005 0.08)38.43% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.28% (0.082000000000001 0.08)60.72% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (0.479 0.48)34.56% (-0.477 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (0.505 0.51)71.28% (-0.503 -0.5)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.12 -0.12)12.04% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46% (-0.258 -0.26)37.53% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 18.18%
    AZ Alkmaar 61.52%
    Draw 20.3%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 4.97% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-0 @ 4.42% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.35% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 18.18%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.3%
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 9.32% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.58% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.48% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.47% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 61.52%

How you voted: Excelsior vs AZ

SBV Excelsior
20.0%
Draw
12.0%
AZ Alkmaar
68.0%
25
Head to Head
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
SBV Excelsior
4-2
AZ
Fortes (21'), Van Rhijn (51' og.), Bruins (60' pen.), Omarsson (66')
Mattheij (41')
Koopmeiners (30'), Johnsen (70')
Gudmundsson (59')
Dec 15, 2018 6.45pm
AZ
2-1
SBV Excelsior
Til (39'), Johnsen (94')
Ouwejan (57')
Mahmudov (30')
Fortes (75')
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-2
AZ
Messaoud (64')
Koolwijk (34'), Bruins (70')
Zwarthoed (19' og.), Jahanbakhsh (44')
Svensson (75')
Sep 24, 2017 3.45pm
Mar 5, 2017 11.30am
AZ
1-1
SBV Excelsior
Dos Santos Souza (21')
Luckassen (62'), Rienstra (64'), Vlaar (69'), Til (74'), Svensson (90')
Van Duinen (60')
Koolwijk (28'), Mattheij (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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