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Excelsior
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Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
0 - 0
Almere City


El Yaakoubi (13'), Zagre (66')
FT

Resink (26'), Robinet (45'), Royo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-2 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-1 Almere City

Excelsior have gone off the boil slightly following a decent first two matches, but a home clash with Almere on Sunday afternoon is the perfect opportunity to earn a second maximum of the season. The Black Sheep look out of place in the Eredivisie judging off their opening four results, although we believe that they will be competitive this weekend in Rotterdam - even if they suffer another loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAlmere City
45.66% (0.938 0.94) 22.93% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 31.4% (-0.896 -0.9)
Both teams to score 63.75% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.8% (-0.197 -0.2)37.19% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.6% (-0.213 -0.21)59.4% (0.213 0.21)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (0.283 0.28)16.73% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (0.505 0.5)46.65% (-0.504 -0.5)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (-0.61 -0.61)23.44% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (-0.895 -0.9)57.44% (0.894 0.89)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 45.66%
    Almere City 31.4%
    Draw 22.93%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.01% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 45.66%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.4%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Almere City

SBV Excelsior
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Almere City
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 32
Almere City
3-0
Excelsior
Puriel (51'), Alhaft (54'), Duijvestijn (69')
Pouwels (74')

El Yaakoubi (43'), Wieffer (54')
Nov 14, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Excelsior
4-4
Almere City
Niemeijer (11', 82'), Dallinga (16'), Resink (54' og.)
Horemans (80'), Wieffer (89')
Duijvestijn (25'), Arweiler (69', 74', 78')
Receveur (24'), Duijvestijn (39')
Mar 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Almere City
4-1
Excelsior
Hammouti (37', 44'), Emmers (79'), Yeboah (90')
Mendes Moreira (88')
Wieffer (66')
Sep 6, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
4-6
Almere City
Niemeijer (5'), Mar Omarsson (16', 18', 87')
Matthys (17')
Verheydt (3', 37'), Hammouti (24'), Margaritha (25'), Emmers (86'), Receveur (88')
Verheydt (17'), Mirani (77'), Lesquoy (78')
Mar 29, 2020 11.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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