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Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
PEC Zwolle

Almere City
1 - 2
PEC Zwolle

Jacobs (90+6')
Cathline (38'), Barbet (42'), Jacobs (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van den Berg (4'), Vellios (90+7')
Garcia McNulty (23'), El Azzouzi (86'), Vellios (90+3')
El Azzouzi (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-1 Almere City
Sunday, August 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht
Sunday, August 27 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-1 PEC Zwolle

Almere have struggled making the step-up so far, and games against a similar level of opposition is where their top-flight future will be decided. Another win over struggling opposition could lift Zwolle as high as the top eight here, before there will be bigger challenges to come, so they will fancy their chances after last week's win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.

Result
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
37.73% (0.267 0.27) 24.38% (0.177 0.18) 37.89% (-0.44 -0.44)
Both teams to score 60.04% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.849 -0.85)42.72% (0.851 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.87% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)65.13% (0.854 0.85)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.24400000000001 -0.24)22.56% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.85% (-0.367 -0.37)56.15% (0.369 0.37)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.59699999999999 -0.6)22.47% (0.6 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.903 -0.9)56.02% (0.905 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 37.73%
    PEC Zwolle 37.89%
    Draw 24.37%
Almere CityDrawPEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.13 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.79% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.73%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.14 0.14)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.65% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.89%

How you voted: Almere City vs PEC Zwolle

Almere City
0.0%
Draw
11.1%
PEC Zwolle
88.9%
9
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 7pm
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
3-2
Almere City
Van den Belt (31'), Van den Berg (65'), Vellios (86')
Pascu (25'), Hilterman (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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