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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
36.79% ( -0.14) | 24.96% ( 0.05) | 38.24% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.89% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.51% ( -0.27) | 45.48% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.18% ( -0.25) | 67.81% ( 0.25) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( -0.2) | 24.3% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.32% ( -0.28) | 58.67% ( 0.27) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.47% ( -0.08) | 23.52% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.43% ( -0.11) | 57.57% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.79% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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