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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Fortuna Sittard

PSV
2 - 1
Sittard

de Jong (25'), Simons (82')
Bakayoko (10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gladon (4')
Duarte (30'), Pandur (45+2'), Cox (66'), Siovas (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 PSV
Saturday, May 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-0 Vitesse
Sunday, May 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

PSV Eindhoven have a fantastic record against Fortuna Sittard, having won 13 and drawn two of the last 15 meetings between the two sides, and they should have no trouble cruising to an easy victory on Sunday. Van Nistelrooy's side have the best home record in the division, collecting 40 points in 15 games, and they are very likely to take all three points in their penultimate match at the Philips Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.28%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 4.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 4-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
87.28% (0.127 0.13) 8.48% (-0.056899999999999 -0.06) 4.24% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.82% (-0.361 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.78% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)21.22% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.19% (-0.133 -0.13)39.81% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.02% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)13.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.43% (-0.374 -0.37)48.57% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.35% (-0.273 -0.27)83.65% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 87.28%
    Fortuna Sittard 4.24%
    Draw 8.48%
PSV EindhovenDrawFortuna Sittard
3-0 @ 10.53% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.12% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
4-0 @ 9.12% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 6.59% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.32% (0.05 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.27% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 4.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 3.65% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
6-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.38% (-0.032 -0.03)
7-0 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
7-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-2 @ 0.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 87.28%
1-1 @ 3.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.38% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 8.48%
1-2 @ 1.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 4.24%

How you voted: PSV vs Sittard

PSV Eindhoven
94.4%
Draw
0.0%
Fortuna Sittard
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 1.30pm
gameweek 16
Sittard
2-2
PSV
Cordoba (45+1'), Yilmaz (90+9' pen.)
Velazquez (22')
Erdogan (56')
Simons (65'), Sangare (76')
Gutierrez (38'), Madueke (90+1')
Mar 20, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 24
PSV
5-0
Sittard
Max (10'), Doan (39'), Zahavi (41'), Bruma (77'), Vinicius (82')
Nov 7, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 11
Sittard
1-4
PSV
Ramalho (76' og.)
Doan (37'), Bruma (54', 85'), Sangare (72')
van Ginkel (82')
Mar 7, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 25
Sittard
1-3
PSV
Cox (69')
Zahavi (10', 27'), Madueke (87')
Viergever (35'), Sangare (43')
Oct 4, 2020 3.45pm
gameweek 4
PSV
2-0
Sittard
Malen (5'), Madueke (85')

Seuntjens (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV332841108208888
2Feyenoord33256288266281
3FC Twente33206767353266
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33197767363164
5Ajax331510872591355
6NECNijmegen331311964501450
7FC UtrechtUtrecht331310104644249
8Sparta RotterdamSparta33137134947246
9Go Ahead Eagles331110124545043
10Heerenveen33107165268-1637
11Fortuna SittardSittard33910143756-1937
12PEC Zwolle3399154465-2136
13Almere CityAlmere City33713133255-2334
14Heracles3395194174-3332
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3378183753-1629
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior33611165069-1929
RFC VolendamVolendam3347223386-5319
RVitesse3365222872-445


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