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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 78.03%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for had a probability of 8.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.58%).
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Willem II |
78.03% | 13.51% | 8.45% |
Both teams to score 53.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.36% | 29.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.24% | 50.76% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.92% | 6.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.89% | 23.11% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.68% | 43.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.44% | 79.55% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Willem II |
2-0 @ 10.32% 3-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 8.07% 1-0 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 6.75% 4-1 @ 5.65% 5-0 @ 3.78% 3-2 @ 3.38% 5-1 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 2.36% 6-0 @ 1.77% 6-1 @ 1.48% 5-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 4.32% Total : 78.03% | 1-1 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 3.62% 0-0 @ 2.63% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.15% Total : 13.51% | 1-2 @ 2.58% 0-1 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.01% 0-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.74% Total : 8.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |