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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Fortuna Sittard

AZ
4 - 0
Sittard

Clasie (45+1'), Pavlidis (49'), Siovas (82' og.), Dantas (88')
de Wit (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sierhuis (24'), Siovas (35'), Duarte (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heracles
Thursday, September 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 Sittard
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Fortuna Sittard

Aiming to bounce back from a first setback of the season in midweek, we see AZ Alkmaar being far too strong for Sunday's visitors and making a return to winning ways in dominant fashion on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 74.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 10.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 3-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
74.63% (0.456 0.46) 15.16% (-0.218 -0.22) 10.22% (-0.236 -0.24)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.95% (0.369 0.37)32.05% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.38% (0.429 0.43)53.62% (-0.426 -0.43)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.74% (0.179 0.18)7.26% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.7% (0.46199999999999 0.46)26.3% (-0.46 -0.46)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (-0.173 -0.17)41.53% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (-0.152 -0.15)78.02% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 74.62%
    Fortuna Sittard 10.22%
    Draw 15.16%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 10.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 9.07% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
4-0 @ 5.95% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 5.23% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.12% (0.081 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.017 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.047 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.019 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 74.62%
1-1 @ 6.95% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.16%
1-2 @ 3.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-1 @ 2.65% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.22%

How you voted: AZ vs Sittard

AZ Alkmaar
93.8%
Draw
0.0%
Fortuna Sittard
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 29
Sittard
0-3
AZ
Odgaard (24'), Milos (42'), Pavlidis (84')
Jan 22, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 17
AZ
3-1
Sittard
De Wit (4'), Navarro (24' og.), Pavlidis (56')
Yilmaz (11' pen.)
Jan 16, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 18
Sittard
1-2
AZ
Rienstra (85')
Beukema (14'), Sugawara (61')
Dec 2, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 2
AZ
2-1
Sittard
Pavlidis (41'), Karlsson (51')
Hatzidiakos (57')
Flemming (9')
Musaba (13')
May 8, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
AZ
1-0
Sittard
Gudmundsson (29' pen.)
Aboukhlal (31'), Bizot (90+3'), Midtsjo (90+5')
Leeuwin (49')

van Osch (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV322831107198887
2Feyenoord32246285246178
3FC Twente32196760332763
4AZ AlkmaarAZ32187764362861
5Ajax321410869591052
6NECNijmegen321311862471550
7FC UtrechtUtrecht32131094643349
8Go Ahead Eagles321110114542343
9Sparta RotterdamSparta32127134847143
10Heerenveen32107155165-1437
11Fortuna SittardSittard3299143655-1936
12PEC Zwolle3298154364-2135
13Almere CityAlmere City32713123252-2034
14Heracles3295184170-2932
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3277183652-1628
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior32511164669-2326
RFC VolendamVolendam3247213179-4819
RVitesse3255222571-462


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