MX23RW : Saturday, May 4 06:22:50| >> :600:2801361:2801361:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Lohmuhle
Hoffenheim logo

Lubeck
1 - 4
Hoffenheim

Gozusirin (35' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kramaric (42', 60' pen.), Bulter (69'), Justvan (75')
Ole Becker (86')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Lubeck and Hoffenheim.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lubeck 0-3 Mainz
Tuesday, October 18 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Lubeck had a probability of 14.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Lubeck win it was 2-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
LubeckDrawHoffenheim
14.66% (0.119 0.12) 19.1% (0.004999999999999 0) 66.25% (-0.121 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.311 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.41% (0.253 0.25)39.59% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.06% (0.26300000000001 0.26)61.94% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Lubeck Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.46% (0.32400000000001 0.32)39.55% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77% (0.298 0.3)76.23% (-0.295 -0.3)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.88% (0.039999999999992 0.04)11.12% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.46% (0.087000000000003 0.09)35.54% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lubeck 14.66%
    Hoffenheim 66.24%
    Draw 19.1%
LubeckDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 4.16% (0.031 0.03)
1-0 @ 4.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.29% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 14.66%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.1%
0-2 @ 10.6% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 7.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-4 @ 4.27% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.96% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.035 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.87% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.84% (0.023 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.74% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 66.24%

How you voted: Lubeck vs Hoffenheim

Lubeck
0.0%
Draw
7.7%
Hoffenheim
92.3%
13
rhs 2.0
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