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DC United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 19
Jul 26, 2021 at 1am UK
RFK Stadium
New York Red Bulls

DC United
1 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Kamara (27')
Alfaro (12'), Brillant (87'), Hamid (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (47'), Klimala (69'), Edwards (80'), Casseres Jr (83')

Preview: DC United vs. New York Red Bulls - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Separated by just one point in the MLS table, DC United and New York Red Bulls go head-to-head at the Audi Field on Sunday.

Both sides are also looking to put together a good run of form following a rough patch which has seen them win just one of their last five league matches apiece.


Match preview

DC United forward Edison Flores celebrates after scoring a goal against the Chicago Fire on May 13, 2021© Reuters

DC United failed to win away from home for the fourth game running as they were held to a 2-2 draw by Chicago Fire at the Soldier Field on Thursday.

Hernan Losada's men showed great resolve to come from two goals down, as late strikes from Kevin Paredes and Ola Kamara were enough to rescue a point.

The Black-and-Red find themselves three points behind the last playoff place as things stand, albeit having played a game more than New York City FC in seventh.

Their record against this weekend's opponents leaves much to be desired, as they have only tasted victory in two of the last 17 meetings between the teams.

Sunday's hosts have also failed to find the back of the net in each of the last four, which is something that must change if they are to turn their fortunes around.

New York Red Bulls manager Gerhard Struber after the game on May 29, 2021© Reuters

New York Red Bulls were denied a third home win on the trot following a 1-1 stalemate against Philadelphia Union on Thursday.

Despite playing the last 30 minutes of the tie with a numerical advantage, Gerhard Struber's men failed to make the most of it, as Sergio Santos's 85th-minute leveller cancelled out Patryk Klimala's penalty on the hour mark.

With 18 points from 13 outings so far, the Metro are only a point behind their city rivals, who currently occupy the last playoff berth.

However, only five of those 18 points have come on the road for Sunday's visitors, which is an area that needs a significant improvement.

DC United Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

DC United form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

DC United forward Edison Flores celebrates after scoring a goal against the Chicago Fire on May 13, 2021© Reuters

Andres Reyes and Youba Diarra are both out with muscle injuries, but the former is nearing a return to action in the coming weeks.

Daniel Royer's thigh problem means that he is unavailable for the trip to Washington, while Aaron Long is currently nursing an Achilles Tendon injury.

DC United will be without the services of Paul Arriola and Donovan Pines, who are representing the United States at the ongoing Gold Cup.

Joined on the sidelines by Edison Flores, Brendan Hines-Ike is still struggling with a broken hip bone and will also sit out the contest.

DC United possible starting lineup:
Hamid; Alfaro, Brilliant, Najar; Mora, Moreno, Nyeman, Gressel; Asad, Kamara, Robertha

New York Red Bulls possible starting lineup:
Miguel; Tarek, Edwards, Duncan, Tolkin; Amaya, Davis, Yearwood; Fabio, Carmona, Klimala


SM words green background

We say: DC United 1-1 New York Red Bulls

The game promises to be an exciting watch, as both sides will feel that they have enough to pick up all three points. While we expect goals at both ends, we are also backing a share of the spoils, with the teams having to settle for a point apiece in the end.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for DC United in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: DC United vs NY Red Bulls

DC United
23.1%
Draw
46.2%
New York Red Bulls
30.8%
26
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1273232181424
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati11632139421
3Toronto116141414019
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114521616017
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia103521916314
7New York City FCNY City104241110114
8DC United113531617-114
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC114251213-114
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta103341411312
11CF MontrealMontreal103341320-712
12Nashville SCNashville102531418-411
13Chicago Fire112451119-810
14Orlando City102351118-79
15New England RevolutionNew England10217718-117

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake11632189921
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver105321810818
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
5Austin FCAustin114431413116
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles114341919015
8Houston DynamoHouston10424910-114
9St Louis City102711514113
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas112541819-111
11Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
12Seattle SoundersSeattle10235131309
13Dallas102261015-58
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes112181726-97


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