Santos

2 - 1

Lara

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Deportivo Lara had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Deportivo Lara win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.