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Crystal Palace logo
Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 10, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Chelsea logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 4
Chelsea

Benteke (63')
Kouyate (29')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Havertz (8'), Pulisic (10', 78'), Zouma (30')

Preview: Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Chelsea will endeavour to break back into the top four of the Premier League table - temporarily at least - when they travel to Selhurst Park to take on Crystal Palace in Saturday's London derby.

The hosts managed to salvage a draw at Everton in their most recent top-flight battle, whereas Thomas Tuchel's unbeaten run ended in disastrous fashion against West Bromwich Albion.


Match preview

Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson pictured on March 7, 2021© Reuters

Palace's point at Goodison Park was down to Everton's profligacy in front of goal rather than anything else, but Roy Hodgson was nevertheless content with his side's performance as the Eagles held their Champions League-chasing opponents to a 1-1 draw on Monday night.

Vicente Guaita frustrated Richarlison and Dominic Calvert-Lewin throughout the evening, although the Eagles number one could not prevent James Rodriguez breaking the deadlock on the 56-minute mark, but Chelsea loanee Michy Batshuayi had only been on the pitch for two minutes before lashing home the equaliser in the dying embers.

Palace's fighting spirit was rightly applauded at Goodison Park, but that result makes hardly any difference to their end-of-season prospects, as the 12th-placed Eagles sit 12 points above the drop zone and 11 adrift of the top seven with eight games left to play.

Consolidating their mid-table standing will be the ultimate goal for Hodgson now, and his side have only lost one of their last six in the Premier League, as well as stringing together a three-game unbeaten run at home - keeping a trio of clean sheets to boot.

Another shut-out this weekend would see Palace record four consecutive clean sheets on home soil for the first time in the top flight since 1992, but on a personal level, Hodgson is enduring a six-game losing streak against Chelsea and is seemingly fighting a losing battle to avoid making that seven against a resurgent Blues outfit.

Chelsea manager Thomas Tuchel pictured on March 4, 2021© Reuters

Not even the most pessimistic of Chelsea supporters could have envisaged their side's collapse against West Bromwich Albion at Stamford Bridge, as Sam Allardyce's men ruined Tuchel's perfect clean sheet record at home by notching up five goals against the 10-man Blues.

Despite the embarrassing manner of that defeat, Tuchel's side responded immediately by taking control of their Champions League quarter-final with Porto, as goals either side of the break from Mason Mount and Ben Chilwell propelled the London outfit to a resounding 2-0 win in their 'away' leg in Seville.

One crushing defeat hardly signals the end of the world for Tuchel, but his side have now slipped out of the top four following West Ham United's win at Wolverhampton Wanderers, and Liverpool could also rise above the fifth-placed Blues if they beat Aston Villa a couple of hours beforehand on Saturday.

However, another three points for Chelsea would indeed propel them back into the Champions League places before West Ham's crunch match with third-placed Leicester City on Sunday, and Tuchel travels to Selhurst Park with his unbeaten away record still intact, as his side have won six and drawn two of their last eight on the road.

Tuchel could match Luiz Felipe Scolari's record of navigating his first six Premier League away matches at Chelsea unbeaten this weekend, and the Blues have come up trumps in eight of their last 10 away fixtures with Crystal Palace, who lost 4-0 at Stamford Bridge earlier in the campaign.

Crystal Palace Premier League form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Chelsea Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Chelsea form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Thiago Silva celebrates scoring for Chelsea against Sheffield United on November 7, 2020© Reuters

Palace's hero of the hour Batshuayi would have been pushing for a starting role this weekend, but he is ineligible to face his parent club, so Wilfried Zaha and Christian Benteke are set to continue up top.

Benteke has amassed six goals and two assists from his last 10 league games against Chelsea, though, and the Belgian forward's spot should not come under any threat from Jean-Philippe Mateta.

However, Hodgson's injury problems are well-documented, as five players in Nathaniel Clyne, Nathan Ferguson, Mamadou Sakho, James Tomkins and James McArthur are nursing injuries and unavailable, but James McCarthy is fit and raring to go.

Experienced centre-back Silva is Chelsea's only absentee for this game following his sending-off against West Brom, and Antonio Rudiger played the full 90 in Seville despite being involved in a training ground bust-up with backup goalkeeper Kepa Arrizabalaga.

However, with rotation on the cards, Kurt Zouma will hope to be given the chance to redeem himself, while Christian Pulisic and N'Golo Kante are both in contention to start after recovering from injuries in time to appear off the bench against Porto.

Tammy Abraham has also shaken off a niggling ankle problem to bolster Tuchel's options in the final third, and Olivier Giroud is set to battle the Englishman for the chance to spearhead the attack.

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Ward, Cahill, Kouyate, Van Aanholt; Ayew, Milivojevic, Riedewald, Eze; Zaha, Benteke

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; Azpilicueta, Zouma, Rudiger; Hudson-Odoi, Kovacic, Kante, Alonso; Ziyech, Pulisic; Abraham


SM words green background

We say: Crystal Palace 0-2 Chelsea

Chelsea appear to have found their familiar defensive resolve after their blip against West Brom, and even though the Blues' Champions League ventures will be playing on their minds, they should have no problem getting their top-four charge back on track here. Palace have been solid at home in recent weeks, but plenty of Tuchel's big hitters are well-rested and ready to make an impact in the capital, so this should be a routine win for Chelsea.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.12%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Chelsea

Crystal Palace
10.8%
Draw
14.5%
Chelsea
74.7%
166
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Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on March 1, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs341861067541360
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
8Chelsea34149116559651
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
12Fulham36128165155-444
13Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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