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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Bristol City

West Brom
2 - 0
Bristol City

Fellows (45'), Wallace (50')
Townsend (28'), Yokuslu (71'), Kipre (85'), Palmer (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Knight (45+1'), Knight (45'), Gardner-Hickman (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-4 West Brom
Sunday, March 10 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Bristol City

West Brom have added attacking flair to their defensive stability since the turn of the calendar year and should be very confident of another home victory on Saturday. Bristol City are in the doldrums following a poor run of form and at risk of being swept aside at The Hawthorns as the Baggies chase down the Premier League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 49.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
49.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 25.5% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)52.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)74.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)21.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (0.025999999999996 0.03)54.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.45% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 49.2%
    Bristol City 25.29%
    Draw 25.5%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 49.2%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: West Brom vs Bristol City

West Bromwich Albion
84.5%
Draw
12.1%
Bristol City
3.4%
58
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Bristol City
0-0
West Brom
Pring (39'), Tanner (54')
Phillips (30'), Molumby (67')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Fourth Round
Bristol City
3-0
West Brom
Bell (12', 48'), Scott (28')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Bristol City
2-2
West Brom
Wells (29'), Weimann (85')
Weimann (76')
Grant (68' pen.), Reach (90+3')
Livermore (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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