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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
King Power Stadium
Norwich logo

Leicester
3 - 1
Norwich

Dewsbury-Hall (33'), Mavididi (61'), Vardy (90+3')
Vestergaard (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sara (20')
Duffy (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 2-2 Norwich City

Leicester were not without their chances in Friday's excruciating loss to Bristol City - Vardy had simply left his best shooting boots in the locker room - and the Foxes now come up against a Norwich side whose performance on the road has left a lot to be desired all season long. Wagner's men are in a good moment attacking wise, though, and the Canaries evidently have the resources to trouble the out-of-sorts hosts from dead ball situations, so we anticipate a share of the spoils in an entertaining draw between these two Premier League hopefuls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
63.44% (-0.52800000000001 -0.53) 19.71% (0.058 0.06) 16.85% (0.47 0.47)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.865 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.01% (0.63 0.63)37.98% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.75% (0.66999999999999 0.67)60.25% (-0.67 -0.67)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.045999999999992 0.05)11.39% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (0.1 0.1)36.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.22% (0.945 0.95)35.78% (-0.945 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.44% (0.96 0.96)72.55% (-0.959 -0.96)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 63.44%
    Norwich City 16.85%
    Draw 19.71%
Leicester CityDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.62% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.78% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 2% (0.057 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 63.44%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.125 0.13)
0-0 @ 4.08% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.71%
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 16.85%

How you voted: Leicester vs Norwich

Leicester City
54.4%
Draw
22.3%
Norwich City
23.3%
103
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Norwich
0-2
Leicester

Duffy (39'), Gibson (42'), Barnes (43')
Iheanacho (45' pen.), McAteer (87')
McAteer (35'), Vardy (70'), Winks (71'), Vestergaard (90')
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Leicester
3-0
Norwich
Vardy (54', 62'), Maddison (70')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Norwich
1-2
Leicester
Pukki (44' pen.)
Lees-Melou (25'), Cantwell (82')
Vardy (8'), Albrighton (76')
Albrighton (69')
Feb 28, 2020 8pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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