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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2024 at 12pm UK
Elland Road
Preston North End logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Preston

James (6'), Piroe (90+4' pen.)
Summerville (38'), Rutter (67'), Firpo (76'), Bamford (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Keane (2')
Whiteman (8'), McCann (34'), Lindsay (62'), Cornell (83'), Ledson (85'), Stewart (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Preston North End

While Preston have the capabilities to cause a surprise at Elland Road, it seems unlikely based on recent form. Leeds are back to building up a head of steam and we are predicting that a fourth successive 3-0 victory will be posted on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 3-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
72.92% (-0.301 -0.3) 16.9% (0.235 0.23) 10.18% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-0.579 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (-0.897 -0.9)40.91% (0.901 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (-0.923 -0.92)63.3% (0.926 0.93)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.2% (-0.30199999999999 -0.3)9.79% (0.3049 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.45% (-0.711 -0.71)32.55% (0.713 0.71)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.3% (-0.464 -0.46)47.7% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (-0.345 -0.34)83.01% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 72.91%
    Preston North End 10.18%
    Draw 16.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 12.6% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 10.85% (0.3 0.3)
3-0 @ 9.77% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.67% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.64% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.062 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 72.91%
1-1 @ 8.04% (0.117 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.67% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 16.9%
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 2.97% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 10.18%

How you voted: Leeds vs Preston

Leeds United
84.4%
Draw
9.4%
Preston North End
6.3%
32
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 24
Preston
2-1
Leeds
Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')
Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')
Dec 26, 2019 5.15pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Apr 9, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 41
Preston
0-2
Leeds

Pearson (14'), Davies (45')
Pearson (49')
Bamford (62', 76')
Alioski (67'), Phillips (81')
Sep 18, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Preston
Cooper (37'), Roberts (74', 82')
Alioski (30')

Browne (26'), Johnson (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Swiatek
Sabalenka
7 4 79
5 6 67
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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